Showing posts with label immigration. Show all posts
Showing posts with label immigration. Show all posts

Monday, November 16, 2015

The Economic Imposition of Immigration

A lot of people wonder why European Countries and the USA are allowing huge amounts of immigration.  With recent terror attacks this question is on the minds of a lot of people.   The answer is simple; it is economics.  First lets look at natural population growth. 


A loot at fertility rates per country show that most European countries are under 2 and the United States is just above 2.  2 is the rate needed for replacement.  This isn't even the actual birth rate which tends to run lower.  So Europe and the United States have a naturally reducing population due to birth rates.  So does Japan, but I will come back to them later. 


Now look at the way we judge economics in these countries.  In order for the economy to be strong it must always be growing.  More growth depends on more people.  A naturally reducing population is the enemy for any nations economy.  A way to offset this is to increase immigration from other countries.  It adds more consumers to the economy and strengthens it.  The immigrants will also likely have a higher birth rate initially, again spurring growth. 


Then there was Japan.  Japan has huge restrictions on immigration.  They also have a 1.4 fertility rate, well below replacement rate of 2.  Their population is in a tailspin.  Guess what the result has been.  If you said economic recession, you can collect your cookie on the way out.  The recession also affects consumer confidence and makes them not want to have kids due to the economic stresses on their family. 


What is the answer?  If we don't allow immigration we are on a certain road to economic recession.  The amount of immigration needed to increase birth rates can drastically change the cultural identity of the country accepting the immigrants. Belgium is dealing with a large group of immigrants that want to institute Sharia Law. 


Countries like South Korea and Japan actually pay parents a stipend to have children in order to increase the population. It is a pittance and doesn't really have much affect. 


The only other situation is to change how we look at economics.  If we base the rate of growth on the number of consumers instead of as a dollar amount that is compared to last years dollar amount, it would show actual growth and not just the number of consumers.  Maybe a country needs more people, they have wide open lands, low unemployment, and no traffic issues.  Maybe they can filter them in and retain the countries identity while not alienating the cultural identity of the person immigrating.  Maybe, but our current immigration policy and the policies of European countries are not there, and need to be reevaluated. 


You cannot allow people into your country blindly just because you need consumers to grind away in your economic system. 

Thursday, May 06, 2010

Did anyone actually read the AZ immigration bill

I did. I looked at CNN's article and thought I must have read the wrong one.

The bill does not require police officers to stop people they think are illegal. You can't be pulled over without just cause. Just cause could be a headlight out, but so be it. The officer still has to have reasonable cause to stop you. If at any time during said stop that they think you might be illegal, then they are required to inquire.

The bill does not require people to carry their immigration documents everywhere they go. A drivers license or any AZ ID is valid proof that you are not illegal. In most police type situation, you are showing that anyways. If someone does not have any paperwork on them and their are other reasons to suspect the person is illegal, then the person may be detained while it is sorted out.

The bill does address the hiring of illegals. It is illegal and you will be punished if you are caught doing so.

The bill does not go above and beyond what the federal law is. It basically gives police officers responsibility of enforcing said law.

Will some poor guy be detained because he left his wallet at home, yeah probably. But I bet the cop would rather follow him home to get his wallet than take him down to the station and fill out a whole bunch of paperwork. Will there be check points set up forcing people to show their papers to walk down the street, no.

Interestingly, it does look like the bill gives the ability to other state agencies as well. So, if someone is filling for foodstamps and they are illegal and can't provide documentation, the Social Worker could turn the person over to the police.